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Istituto sull'inquinamento atmosferico

Torna all'elenco Contributi in rivista anno 2014

Contributo in rivista

Tipo: Articolo in rivista

Titolo: Can a Multi-Approach Investigation of the Climate System Lead to More Robust Results in Attribution Studies?

Anno di pubblicazione: 2014

Formato: Elettronico

Autori: Antonello Pasini (1); Fulvio Mazzocchi (2)

Affiliazioni autori: (1) CNR-IIA (2) CNR-ISC

Autori CNR:

  • FULVIO MAZZOCCHI
  • ANTONELLO PASINI

Lingua: italiano inglese

Abstract: Attribution studies, which investigate the causes of recent global warming by Global Climate Models, show the fundamental role of anthropogenic forcings in driving the temperature behaviour of the last half century. Nevertheless, due to the complex structure and balance of these models, some doubts are expressed about the reliability of their results, actually more in the media than in the scientific community. In any case, due to the potential benefits that can be derived by exploring a complex system from multiple viewpoints and methodological approaches, recently completely different, non-dynamical, data-driven linear and nonlinear approaches have been applied to attribution investigations. This permits to compare the results coming from these distinct analyses and to possibly increase their robustness in order to uphold the hypothesized causal pattern involved in recent global warming. Here we present these approaches and their results, and discuss about the relevance of a multi-approach strategy in the scientific praxis of climate-science investigations.

Lingua abstract: inglese

Pagine da: 57

Pagine a: 78

Rivista:

Isonomia Istituto di filosofia Arturo Massolo
Paese di pubblicazione: Italia
Lingua: multilingue
ISSN: 2037-4348

Numero volume: 6

Numero fascicolo: SI

Referee: Sė: Internazionale

Parole chiave:

  • climate models
  • robustness
  • global warming

URL: http://isonomia.uniurb.it/node/28

Altre informazioni: In "Forecasting the Future: Scientific, Philosophical, and Historical Perspectives" eds. Stefano Bordoni & Sara Matera, XVI Summer School in Philosophy of Physics. Publication Date: Dec 12, 2014.

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